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Showing posts with the label South China Sea

Why Has China Not Gone To War Yet?

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  Year after year, the US cries wolf about China’s impending military aggression. The familiar refrain from the White House, Congress, Pentagon, CIA, and retired generals comes in invariably alarming tone: China’s invasion of Taiwan is imminent; President Xi Jinping has ordered his military to be ready for invading Taiwan by a certain year; and rising tensions in the South China Sea will trigger WWIII. Year after year, the wolf fails to show up. Yet, the US Empire’s mass media keeps amplifying this false narrative, day in day out. These tired tropes never die. For good reasons. They vilify China as America’s greatest enemy. They advance the National Security Council’s bellicose agenda. They prompt Congress to boost ever greater defense budgets. They serve to rally American allies. The sweeping China military threat narrative brushes aside a major question: Why has China not gone to war yet, despite enjoying 40 years of dizzying economic boom and rapid military modernization? The U

China Must Bulk Up Its Nuclear Arsenal

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  Not a day goes by without the US raising the specter of China as an existential threat. Joining the fray, the Pentagon issued an alarming report in 2023 over China's faster expansion of its nuclear arsenal, which, it claimed, went from 400 warheads in 2022 to 500 in May 2023 and is projected to reach 1,500 by 2035.   This is great news. China's so-called "sharp" development of nuclear weapons is overdue. A stronger nuclear stance will deter adversaries from blackmailing and launching nuclear strikes.  To America, China's "rapid" nuclear modernization threatens the nuclear balance and poses as an "existential challenge" to its security. Upon reviewing the Pentagon report, Congress members declared that the Chinese buildup is a wake-up call to speed up the overhaul of US nuclear forces. The White House urged the Chinese government to come to the negotation table in the hope of striking a deal over arms control. The numbers bely the American cla

China Is a Geopolitical Dwarf

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Vector Vectors by Vecteezy China has the numbers on its side. The second largest economy in the world, it is poised to surpass the US economy in 2030. An industrial giant, it accounts for almost one-third of the world's manufacturing output, leading the US by over 10 percentage points. A global trade powerhouse, China is the largest partner of two-thirds of countries (128 out of 190), overtaking the long-standing US.  Yet, despite its phenomenal transformation from a peasant-based to an industrial society in merely 44 years, China has remained a geopolitical dwarf, unable to project its military power beyond its territory in East Asia, let alone in the Pacific or Southeast Asia. Its geopolitical situation looks dire especially in East Asia, where the US has put in place the containment policy with its Asian allies.  China's major geopolitical weakness is its inability to reclaim the island of Taiwan, a renegade province that lies 100 miles from the mainland. The island, now und